From NC Emergency Management
Friday morning #ncwx weather update:
Overall the forecast and expected impacts are similar to previous updates. #Ian is forecast to make landfall along the SC coast this afternoon, and its remnants will track through central NC later tonight and into tomorrow, but the greatest impacts to NC are still expected this morning and into the overnight hours.
Widespread rainfall amounts of 2-6” are expected across much of the state through early Saturday, with locally higher totals of up to 8” possible. These rainfall amounts could lead to numerous areas of flash flooding and rises on main-stem rivers. A Flood Watch is in effect for all of NC except southwestern portions of the state.
Gusty winds will continue today, peaking this afternoon and into the overnight hours. Most areas along and east of the I-77 corridor, and also higher elevations of western NC will see peak wind gusts of 35-55 mph. Stronger gusts up to 75 mph are possible across southeastern NC. Gusty winds and saturated soils will likely lead to some downed trees and power outages. Southeastern areas along the immediate coast and NC/SC border also have the best chance of seeing a period of sustained winds in excess of 40 mph this afternoon and evening. Most NC counties are currently under a Tropical Storm Warning or Wind Advisory through tonight.
Areas of coastal flooding and storm surge are expected through Saturday, but the greatest risk of inundation will be with high tide during the late morning hours today. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for the Neuse River and areas south of Cape Fear, meaning there is a danger of life-threatening inundation. A Storm Surge Watch remains in effect for the Cape Fear River, Pamlico River, and areas between Cape Fear and Duck, where there is the possibility of life-threatening inundation.
There will also be a risk of a few tornadoes through this evening, especially along and east of I-95 after Ian makes landfall. It is important to have multiple ways of receiving severe weather alerts as tornadoes in tropical systems are typically brief, but also offer little lead time.
